About us
What is Capuchinomics?
Capuchinomics is a financial newsletter that uses human behavioral trends and patterns as the primary factors in analyzing the prices and values in financial markets and securities. These patterns and trends are evaluated through monitoring political, economic, demographic, financial and numerical data. In addition we pay attention to social preferences and biases, cultural choices and prejudices, religious priorities, semantics. We monitor these factors by accumulating insights, observations, hypotheses and conclusions from observations sources available through newspaper articles, periodicals, books, magazines, blogs, scientific studies, web sites, chat rooms, financial reports, newsletters and day-to-day living. Information from these sources are combined with our experience and knowledge in traditional fundamental financial/securities analysis and technical analysis to determine potential investing and speculative opportunities.
The inspiration for Capuchinomics
Capuchinomics was inspired by a social experiment on Capuchin monkeys that is described in the Brosnan article listed below. The experiment’s results suggest that notions of fairness, greed and equity exist innately in animals and humans. The results of this and other studies suggest to us that these traits are independent of the classical economic model that is based on a perfectly rational human decision maker. Such instinctual or “animal” behaviors we believe, provide an alternate basis for some of the fluctuations in financial markets on a day-to day basis. Alternately, in crises and extremes such as panics or bubbles , we believe that these non-rational factors represent the best explanation of the wide fluctuations seen in financial markets.
For more information on the experiment, please read:
A sense of fairness in monkeys
by Sarah F. Brosnan
Fair refusal by Capuchin monkeys
by Sarah F.Brosnan, Frans B.M. de Waal
Nature, March 11, 2004
Monkeys reject unequal pay
by Sarah F.Brosnan, Frans B.M. de Waal
Nature, September 18, 2003
The Financial Page - The coup de Grasso
by James Surowiecki
The New Yorker, October 6, 2003
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Extremely important - Capuchinomics disclaimer
We live in a very litigious society. Hence it is VERY IMPORTANT for you to read and understand the DISCLAIMER set forth below and ALL the Disclosures that accompany each Capuchinomics report.
Disclaimer
Capuchinomics is not a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) and does not give individual investment advice. Our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. Futures, Options and other leveraged instruments carry the potential for catastrophic financial losses that may drastically impair your financial well being.
Although we believe our statements to be true, they always depend on the reliability and credibility of our sources. We cannot assure you that the information we use is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements. Investments in the securities markets are speculative and involve substantial risk. Capital loss is always a possibility.
We recommend that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions. Further, we encourage you to confirm the facts on your own before making important investment commitments.
Our personnel may own positions in the securities mentioned in our reports. Disclosures of positions are current as of date of publication of each report. Archived reports may not represent the current opinions and positions. Contact us at capuchinomics@gmail.com if you have questions or concerns regarding any issue raised in our disclaimer or disclosures.
We are not compensated by companies or organizations in any way for publishing information about them.